First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • BetBoom Arena
Match Finished
0 - 4
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.22) 0.61 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 34.5% 22.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC UFA 0 20.4% 12.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC UFAFakel
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack57%71%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC UFA Fakel
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins40%0%21%89%50%68%
Draws40%33%37%11%20%16%
Loses20%67%42%0%30%16%

Form: FC UFA: DLWLDLWDLLDDDDLWWLL • Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric FC UFA Fakel
HATHAT
GF total1582315823
GF avg1.50.91.21.70.81.2
GA total816243811
GA avg0.81.81.30.30.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC UFAFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%79%42%
1.537%47%26%16%
2.516%16%11%0%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC UFAFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets6177411
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricFC UFAFakel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFC UFAFakel
Wins26
Draws42
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—4-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-1—2-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricFC UFAFakel
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fakel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.01 @ 1xBet
Away2.19 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC UFA = 0.98 (league 1.22), Fakel = 0.61 (league 1.05)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC UFA 0 20.4% 12.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1