First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 07:00 • Tsentralnyi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.22) 1.34 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 28.5% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 0
15.3%
0 - 2
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 15.3% 20.5% 13.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.3% 11.0% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEniseyRodina Moskva
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack21%50%
Defense36%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Enisey Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%20%26%50%44%47%
Draws22%40%32%40%33%37%
Loses44%40%42%10%22%16%

Form: Enisey: LLDLDWWDLLDLDWWLLWD • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Enisey Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total5914151328
GF avg0.60.90.71.51.41.5
GA total9162561016
GA avg1.01.61.30.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEniseyRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%63%79%53%
1.516%42%47%16%
2.55%16%11%11%
3.55%5%5%5%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEniseyRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets437639
Failed to score4610134

Penalties

MetricEniseyRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricEniseyRodina Moskva
Wins24
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-43-01-5
Biggest losses0-35-01-34-0
Goals For1435
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricEniseyRodina Moskva
Form39%61%
Att30%70%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Enisey = 0.54 (league 1.22), Rodina Moskva = 1.34 (league 1.05)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 15.3% 20.5% 13.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.3% 11.0% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 56.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1