First League — Russia
Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 16:00 • Volgograd Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.22) 0.31 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.1% 24.4% 7.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
2 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 16.0% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.5% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack50%63%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotor Volgograd Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins67%20%42%60%11%37%
Draws11%40%26%40%44%42%
Loses22%40%32%0%44%21%

Form: Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDLDWLDLWL • Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDDDDLLWD

League goals

Metric Rotor Volgograd Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total1592418725
GF avg1.70.91.31.80.81.3
GA total4111581018
GA avg0.41.10.80.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%42%74%63%
1.532%26%32%26%
2.521%5%21%5%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411527
Failed to score178145

Penalties

MetricRotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricRotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
Wins32
Draws14
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-64-02-3
Biggest losses1-24-0—2-1
Goals For3643
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricRotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelyabinsk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ 1xBet
Draw2.93 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ Pinnacle
No1.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rotor Volgograd = 1.53 (league 1.22), Chelyabinsk = 0.31 (league 1.05)

Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 16.0% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.5% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.1% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 7.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1