Super League — Kenya
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.26) 0.75 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 40.9% 38.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.5%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Equity Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 29.5% 22.0% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 10.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKibera Black StarsEquity Bank
Played54
Form87%58%
Attack88%100%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kibera Black Stars Equity Bank
HATHAT
Played336314
Wins33%100%67%67%0%50%
Draws33%0%17%0%100%25%
Loses33%0%17%33%0%25%

Form: Kibera Black Stars: LWWWDW • Equity Bank: WLDW

League goals

Metric Kibera Black Stars Equity Bank
HATHAT
GF total167628
GF avg0.32.01.22.02.02.0
GA total123426
GA avg0.30.70.51.32.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKibera Black StarsEquity Bank
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%75%100%
1.533%17%75%50%
2.517%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKibera Black StarsEquity Bank
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricKibera Black StarsEquity Bank
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKibera Black StarsEquity Bank
Wins31
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-1—
Biggest losses0-1—0-1—
Goals For1332
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricKibera Black StarsEquity Bank
Form65%35%
Att47%53%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Kibera Black Stars or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kibera Black Stars = 0.47 (league 1.26), Equity Bank = 0.75 (league 0.80)

Equity Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 29.5% 22.0% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 10.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 40.9% · Away win 38.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1