Paraense A3 — Brazil
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 2.07) 0.21 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 29.6% 6.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
0 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
Santos PA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belenense 0 23.1% 4.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBelenenseSantos PA
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack45%55%
Defense64%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Belenense Santos PA
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%25%57%100%0%57%
Draws0%0%0%0%67%29%
Loses0%75%43%0%33%14%

Form: Belenense: LWWWLWL • Santos PA: DWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Belenense Santos PA
HATHAT
GF total651112214
GF avg2.01.31.63.00.72.0
GA total189347
GA avg0.32.01.30.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBelenenseSantos PA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%57%
1.557%29%57%29%
2.529%14%43%14%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBelenenseSantos PA
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricBelenenseSantos PA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBelenenseSantos PA
Wins32
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-0—
Biggest losses—4-2—3-1
Goals For3341
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricBelenenseSantos PA
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Santos PA

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.95 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Marathonbet
No2.29 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Belenense = 1.26 (league 2.07), Santos PA = 0.21 (league 1.00)

Santos PA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belenense 0 23.1% 4.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 6.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1