Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.07) 0.91 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.2% 32.8% 33.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Duque de Caxias 0 16.4% 15.0% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDuque de CaxiasBonsucesso
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack64%55%
Defense73%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Duque de Caxias Bonsucesso
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins60%33%45%60%50%55%
Draws40%17%27%40%33%36%
Loses0%50%27%0%17%9%

Form: Duque de Caxias: WLWLDLWWDDW • Bonsucesso: DWDWWWWWDDL

League goals

Metric Duque de Caxias Bonsucesso
HATHAT
GF total64106814
GF avg1.20.70.91.21.31.3
GA total369257
GA avg0.61.00.80.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDuque de CaxiasBonsucesso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%45%82%55%
1.527%36%36%9%
2.50%0%9%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDuque de CaxiasBonsucesso
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricDuque de CaxiasBonsucesso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDuque de CaxiasBonsucesso
Wins25
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses—2-0—1-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricDuque de CaxiasBonsucesso
Form58%42%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals71%29%
Total58.2%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Duque de Caxias or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ William Hill
Draw2.80 @ 10Bet
Away3.00 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 1xBet
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Duque de Caxias = 0.90 (league 1.07), Bonsucesso = 0.91 (league 0.86)

Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Duque de Caxias 0 16.4% 15.0% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1