Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.07) 0.33 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 33.0% 10.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.4%
0 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bonsucesso 0 23.5% 7.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.4% 8.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack60%100%
Defense20%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bonsucesso Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%43%50%67%33%50%
Draws40%29%33%33%17%25%
Loses0%29%17%0%50%25%

Form: Bonsucesso: DWDWWWWWDDLL • Duque de Caxias: WLWLDLWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Bonsucesso Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
GF total68147411
GF avg1.21.11.21.20.70.9
GA total268369
GA avg0.40.90.70.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%67%42%
1.533%8%25%33%
2.58%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
HATHAT
Clean sheets325437
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Wins52
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses—1-0—2-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Form31%69%
Att30%70%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h36%64%
Goals25%75%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Duque de Caxias and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ William Hill
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bonsucesso = 1.12 (league 1.07), Duque de Caxias = 0.33 (league 0.86)

Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bonsucesso 0 23.5% 7.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.4% 8.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 10.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1