Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 00:45 • Subaru Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.16) 1.32 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 18.4% 18.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
New York City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union 0 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew York City FC
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack65%25%
Defense80%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Philadelphia Union New York City FC
HATHAT
Played181836181937
Wins72%50%61%61%42%51%
Draws22%11%17%0%26%14%
Loses6%39%22%39%32%35%

Form: Philadelphia Union: WWWLWLDLWWWDWWDWDWWLLWWDWDLWWLWWWLWW • New York City FC: DLWWDLLWLWWLDWWLDWLWLWDWWWLWWWLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Philadelphia Union New York City FC
HATHAT
GF total392463282654
GF avg2.21.31.81.61.41.5
GA total172037222446
GA avg0.91.11.01.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhiladelphia UnionNew York City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%58%70%73%
1.550%25%46%35%
2.531%8%24%11%
3.511%3%5%5%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew York City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets87155510
Failed to score1784711

Penalties

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew York City FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew York City FC
Wins33
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-64-01-3
Biggest losses1-37-00-42-0
Goals For4644
Goals Against3744

Model comparison

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew York City FC
Form67%33%
Att72%28%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Winner : Philadelphia Union

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away4.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Philadelphia Union = 2.46 (league 1.16), New York City FC = 1.32 (league 0.96)

New York City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union 0 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1