Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 03:00 • Snapdragon Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.16) 1.50 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 22.8% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Minnesota United FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Diego 0 3.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.6% 10.0% 7.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack89%61%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Diego Minnesota United FC
HATHAT
Played191837191837
Wins47%67%57%53%44%49%
Draws26%6%16%21%33%27%
Loses26%28%27%26%22%24%

Form: San Diego: WDWDLWWLLLWWWDWLWWWWLWLDWWWDWLDLWWWLW • Minnesota United FC: LWWDDWWDDLWWLWDDWLWDWWLDWLWWDWLDWLWLW

League goals

Metric San Diego Minnesota United FC
HATHAT
GF total314172342963
GF avg1.62.31.91.81.61.7
GA total182745232346
GA avg0.91.51.21.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%68%81%70%
1.562%32%51%32%
2.530%19%30%16%
3.516%3%8%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets93127411
Failed to score527347

Penalties

MetricSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
Wins42
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-34-2
Goals For5543
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
Form57%43%
Att59%41%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : San Diego or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): San Diego = 1.79 (league 1.16), Minnesota United FC = 1.50 (league 0.96)

Minnesota United FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Diego 0 3.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.6% 10.0% 7.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1