First League — Russia
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 16:00 • Centralnyy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.22) 0.42 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 34.0% 14.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 22.7% 9.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChernomoretsShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack50%88%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chernomorets Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins44%9%25%45%11%30%
Draws22%36%30%27%56%40%
Loses33%55%45%27%33%30%

Form: Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWLDDLLWD • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLWD

League goals

Metric Chernomorets Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total12112313417
GF avg1.31.01.21.20.40.9
GA total1016268917
GA avg1.11.51.30.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChernomoretsShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%90%50%55%
1.525%30%25%20%
2.515%10%5%10%
3.510%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChernomoretsShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets202549
Failed to score3474610

Penalties

MetricChernomoretsShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricChernomoretsShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins21
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-23-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricChernomoretsShinnik Yaroslavl
Form38%62%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.08 @ 1xBet
Away3.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets = 1.06 (league 1.22), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.42 (league 1.05)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 22.7% 9.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1