First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Trud Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.22) 1.99 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 21.7% 52.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 3.9% 7.7% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.7% 9.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolga UlyanovskUral
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack78%67%
Defense22%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Ural
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%20%30%60%60%60%
Draws10%20%15%30%10%20%
Loses50%60%55%10%30%20%

Form: Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWLLWLW • Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLWWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Ural
HATHAT
GF total141024171330
GF avg1.41.01.21.71.31.5
GA total16183471118
GA avg1.61.81.70.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolga UlyanovskUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%85%85%55%
1.530%55%45%20%
2.510%15%15%5%
3.50%15%5%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolga UlyanovskUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets303549
Failed to score044123

Penalties

MetricVolga UlyanovskUral
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVolga UlyanovskUral
Wins15
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-44-01-25-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricVolga UlyanovskUral
Form38%63%
Att54%46%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total38.0%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ural

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.26 (league 1.22), Ural = 1.99 (league 1.05)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 3.9% 7.7% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.7% 9.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 52.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1