First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.22) 2.41 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 19.1% 54.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
7.3%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 2.1% 5.0% 6.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4%
1 3.0% 7.3% 8.8% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%40%30%27%33%30%
Draws60%30%45%45%44%45%
Loses20%30%25%27%22%25%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWWD • FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLDDWW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
GF total15142991625
GF avg1.51.41.50.81.81.3
GA total141125131124
GA avg1.41.11.31.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%80%65%
1.545%35%25%25%
2.510%0%10%20%
3.50%0%10%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Clean sheets112617
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
Wins33
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-01-4
Biggest losses1-22-11-53-2
Goals For3324
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Neftekhimik

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away4.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.47 (league 1.22), FK Neftekhimik = 2.41 (league 1.05)

FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 2.1% 5.0% 6.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4%
1 3.0% 7.3% 8.8% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 54.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1