First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 15:00 • Fakel Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.22) 0.26 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 26.8% 6.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.8%
0 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
18.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 19.3% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 6.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 4.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFakelChelyabinsk
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense57%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fakel Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins89%55%70%60%20%40%
Draws11%18%15%40%40%40%
Loses0%27%15%0%40%20%

Form: Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWWLWWWW • Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDDDDLLWDW

League goals

Metric Fakel Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total15122718927
GF avg1.71.11.41.80.91.4
GA total381181018
GA avg0.30.70.60.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFakelChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%75%60%
1.530%15%35%25%
2.515%0%20%5%
3.510%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFakelChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512538
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricFakelChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFakelChelyabinsk
Wins62
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-00-2
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricFakelChelyabinsk
Form63%37%
Att59%41%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Fakel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away5.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.73 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 1.39 (league 1.22), Chelyabinsk = 0.26 (league 1.05)

Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 19.3% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 6.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 4.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1