First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Urozhay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.22) 0.42 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 26.0% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.2%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 15.1% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaTorpedo Moskva
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack100%86%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins33%55%45%30%10%20%
Draws44%27%35%30%30%30%
Loses22%18%20%40%60%50%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDWLLD • Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLDDWLDWL

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
GF total11193012416
GF avg1.21.71.51.20.40.8
GA total101323141529
GA avg1.11.21.21.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaTorpedo Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%50%70%
1.550%20%25%45%
2.515%5%5%25%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaTorpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets022426
Failed to score2243710

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaTorpedo Moskva
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaTorpedo Moskva
Wins41
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-42-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-21-43-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaTorpedo Moskva
Form42%58%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Kostroma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.19 @ 1xBet
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.47 (league 1.22), Torpedo Moskva = 0.42 (league 1.05)

Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 15.1% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1