First League — Russia
Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 16:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.22) 0.86 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 26.5% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 9.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaKAMAZ
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva KAMAZ
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%40%45%40%40%40%
Draws40%40%40%30%40%35%
Loses10%20%15%30%20%25%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDWD • KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDLDLWDLWWLDD

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva KAMAZ
HATHAT
GF total151328211536
GF avg1.51.31.42.11.51.8
GA total61016121224
GA avg0.61.00.81.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaKAMAZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%85%80%
1.545%15%50%25%
2.510%10%25%15%
3.55%5%10%0%
4.55%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaKAMAZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410224
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaKAMAZ
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaKAMAZ
Wins42
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-02-33-0
Goals For3553
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaKAMAZ
Form53%47%
Att28%72%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rodina Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 1.47 (league 1.22), KAMAZ = 0.86 (league 1.05)

KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 9.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1