Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 02:30 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.61) 1.35 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 27.7% 45.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
CDS Tampico Madero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 10.0% 13.5% 9.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack42%75%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros UDG CDS Tampico Madero
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%43%43%86%29%57%
Draws29%14%21%14%71%43%
Loses29%43%36%0%0%0%

Form: Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWW • CDS Tampico Madero: WDWDWWWWDDWDWD

League goals

Metric Leones Negros UDG CDS Tampico Madero
HATHAT
GF total1271916824
GF avg1.71.01.42.31.11.7
GA total98179615
GA avg1.31.11.21.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%86%79%
1.543%36%57%29%
2.514%7%29%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Wins24
Draws32
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-33-12-3
Biggest losses2-32-0——
Goals For4333
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%62%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CDS Tampico Madero

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Away2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Home3.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros UDG = 0.95 (league 1.61), CDS Tampico Madero = 1.35 (league 1.06)

CDS Tampico Madero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 10.0% 13.5% 9.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 45.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1