Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.41) 1.12 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.7% 33.0% 55.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.6%
0 - 0
23.0%
0 - 2
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Macaé
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Cruz RJ 0 23.0% 25.6% 14.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.1% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta Cruz RJMacaé
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack45%100%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Macaé
HATHAT
Played257549
Wins50%80%71%60%25%44%
Draws50%0%14%20%25%22%
Loses0%20%14%20%50%33%

Form: Santa Cruz RJ: WWWDWWL • Macaé: DWLLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Macaé
HATHAT
GF total1785712
GF avg0.51.41.11.01.81.3
GA total055145
GA avg0.01.00.70.21.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta Cruz RJMacaé
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%56%44%
1.529%29%33%11%
2.514%0%11%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta Cruz RJMacaé
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricSanta Cruz RJMacaé
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta Cruz RJMacaé
Wins31
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-32-01-6
Biggest losses2-00-12-1
Goals For1326
Goals Against0212

Model comparison

MetricSanta Cruz RJMacaé
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total41.4%58.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Macaé and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away5.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Cruz RJ = 0.35 (league 1.41), Macaé = 1.12 (league 1.13)

Macaé
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Cruz RJ 0 23.0% 25.6% 14.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.1% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1