Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Belvedere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.09) 1.97 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 20.6% 36.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Penarol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack60%90%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Penarol
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins50%43%47%100%43%73%
Draws38%14%27%0%29%13%
Loses13%43%27%0%29%13%

Form: Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDDLWWDWWLL • Penarol: WWLWWWDWWWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Penarol
HATHAT
GF total13619161430
GF avg1.60.91.32.02.02.0
GA total881621012
GA avg1.01.11.10.31.40.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%67%93%53%
1.540%33%73%27%
2.57%7%27%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
HATHAT
Clean sheets235617
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
Wins23
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-01-4
Biggest losses0-13-1—2-0
Goals For3134
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Penarol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool Montevideo = 2.05 (league 1.09), Penarol = 1.97 (league 1.02)

Penarol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 36.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1