Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.57) 1.11 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 24.9% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 6.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.8% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WGuadalajara W
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%64%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins70%70%70%40%70%55%
Draws10%20%15%40%0%20%
Loses20%10%15%20%30%25%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWW • Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWDLWDWL

League goals

Metric América W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
GF total362864181533
GF avg3.62.83.21.81.51.7
GA total10132314721
GA avg1.01.31.21.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WGuadalajara W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%60%95%55%
1.585%40%50%35%
2.555%15%10%10%
3.530%0%10%5%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WGuadalajara W
HATHAT
Clean sheets538369
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricAmérica WGuadalajara W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAmérica WGuadalajara W
Wins85
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-01-54-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-22-42-1
Goals For11542
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WGuadalajara W
Form65%35%
Att64%36%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : América W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 10Bet
Draw5.54 @ Pinnacle
Away9.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 1.60 (league 1.57), Guadalajara W = 1.11 (league 1.35)

Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 6.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.8% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 26.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1