Liga MX — Mexico
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 02:07 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.55) 2.19 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 20.4% 51.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 2.5% 5.5% 6.0% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.7% 8.2% 9.0% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack73%67%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins56%50%53%67%50%59%
Draws11%13%12%22%38%29%
Loses33%38%35%11%13%12%

Form: Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWW • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total191029191332
GF avg2.11.31.72.11.61.9
GA total1482211920
GA avg1.61.01.31.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%88%71%
1.553%35%65%35%
2.529%18%29%12%
3.518%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Wins47
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-10-3
Biggest losses0-31-02-32-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Form55%45%
Att52%48%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals22%78%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 188Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara Chivas = 1.49 (league 1.55), Cruz Azul = 2.19 (league 1.17)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 2.5% 5.5% 6.0% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.7% 8.2% 9.0% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 51.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1