Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio BBVA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.57) 1.61 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 21.2% 30.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Club America
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 2.6% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.3% 8.5% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.7% 6.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreyClub America
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack53%47%
Defense33%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey Club America
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins63%44%53%88%33%59%
Draws38%11%24%0%44%24%
Loses0%44%24%13%22%18%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLWDDWLDL • Club America: DWDWWWWLDWWWLWDWL

League goals

Metric Monterrey Club America
HATHAT
GF total181533181533
GF avg2.31.71.92.31.71.9
GA total9202951318
GA avg1.12.21.70.61.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreyClub America
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%76%94%71%
1.559%53%59%35%
2.535%18%29%0%
3.512%12%12%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreyClub America
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricMonterreyClub America
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricMonterreyClub America
Wins74
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-44-12-4
Biggest losses—6-21-22-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against2622

Model comparison

MetricMonterreyClub America
Form42%58%
Att53%47%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Club America

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.26 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 2.05 (league 1.57), Club America = 1.61 (league 1.16)

Club America
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 2.6% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.3% 8.5% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.7% 6.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1