Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.57) 1.35 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 25.9% 37.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack73%82%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins67%44%56%50%50%50%
Draws22%44%33%20%13%17%
Loses11%11%11%30%38%33%

Form: Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLD • Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
GF total191332191029
GF avg2.11.41.81.91.31.6
GA total1192014822
GA avg1.21.01.11.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%72%
1.561%33%50%33%
2.528%11%28%17%
3.56%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricCruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
Wins74
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-31-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricCruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total61.8%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 10Bet
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul = 1.34 (league 1.57), Guadalajara Chivas = 1.35 (league 1.16)

Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1