Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.17) 1.72 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 23.1% 41.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 3.9% 6.6% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack64%55%
Defense55%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floriana Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins33%100%64%50%40%45%
Draws33%0%18%17%40%27%
Loses33%0%18%33%20%27%

Form: Floriana: WWDLWWWWWLD • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Floriana Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total98177714
GF avg1.51.61.51.21.41.3
GA total92115611
GA avg1.50.41.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlorianaMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%64%82%55%
1.545%27%36%36%
2.518%9%9%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets134325
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Wins52
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-2
Biggest losses1-3—0-23-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Floriana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Floriana = 1.54 (league 1.17), Marsaxlokk = 1.72 (league 1.22)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 3.9% 6.6% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 41.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1