Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.24) 0.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 29.5% 6.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
0 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
18.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 23.0% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack64%64%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamrun Spartans Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%57%58%50%33%42%
Draws40%29%33%17%33%25%
Loses0%14%8%33%33%33%

Form: Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWLDWWW • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Hamrun Spartans Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total610167815
GF avg1.21.41.31.21.31.3
GA total1565813
GA avg0.20.70.50.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%83%58%
1.542%8%33%42%
2.58%0%8%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses—2-00-23-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hamrun Spartans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away5.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamrun Spartans = 1.26 (league 1.24), Marsaxlokk = 0.21 (league 1.24)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 23.0% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 6.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1