Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 20:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.24) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 20.0% 20.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack38%25%
Defense81%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosta Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played67135813
Wins17%29%23%0%13%8%
Draws50%0%23%20%25%23%
Loses33%71%54%80%63%69%

Form: Mosta: LWLDLLLLDWWLD • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDL

League goals

Metric Mosta Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total104144812
GF avg1.70.61.10.81.00.9
GA total9122191322
GA avg1.51.71.61.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%62%92%
1.523%46%15%46%
2.515%23%8%31%
3.50%15%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Wins21
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-1—0-4
Biggest losses3-44-11-33-0
Goals For3124
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Form80%20%
Att60%40%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals78%22%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Double chance : Mosta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 2.20 (league 1.24), Naxxar Lions = 1.21 (league 1.24)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 20.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1