Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.24) 0.74 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.9% 11.3% 6.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.6%
2 - 0
10.6%
4 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHiberniansMosta
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%60%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hibernians Mosta
HATHAT
Played105158715
Wins50%20%40%13%29%20%
Draws30%40%33%50%0%27%
Loses20%40%27%38%71%53%

Form: Hibernians: WDWDWWLLLLDDWDW • Mosta: LWLDLLLLDWWLDLD

League goals

Metric Hibernians Mosta
HATHAT
GF total2272914418
GF avg2.21.41.91.80.61.2
GA total15823141226
GA avg1.51.61.51.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHiberniansMosta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%73%80%
1.567%47%33%53%
2.527%20%13%27%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHiberniansMosta
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricHiberniansMosta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricHiberniansMosta
Wins22
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-00-1
Biggest losses2-32-03-44-1
Goals For5331
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricHiberniansMosta
Form64%36%
Att65%35%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Winner : Hibernians

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hibernians = 3.02 (league 1.24), Mosta = 0.74 (league 1.21)

Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.9% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 6.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1