Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.23) 1.89 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 22.4% 51.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tarxien Rainbows
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 4.4% 8.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaxxar LionsTarxien Rainbows
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack80%50%
Defense10%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naxxar Lions Tarxien Rainbows
HATHAT
Played510158715
Wins0%30%20%0%14%7%
Draws20%20%20%25%29%27%
Loses80%50%60%75%57%67%

Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWW • Tarxien Rainbows: DLLWDLLLLLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Naxxar Lions Tarxien Rainbows
HATHAT
GF total413174913
GF avg0.81.31.10.51.30.9
GA total91625151328
GA avg1.81.61.71.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaxxar LionsTarxien Rainbows
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%93%60%100%
1.527%47%20%60%
2.513%27%7%20%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaxxar LionsTarxien Rainbows
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score235426

Penalties

MetricNaxxar LionsTarxien Rainbows
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNaxxar LionsTarxien Rainbows
Wins11
Draws11
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-4—2-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-43-1
Goals For2413
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricNaxxar LionsTarxien Rainbows
Form78%22%
Att62%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Naxxar Lions or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Dafabet
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 1.23 (league 1.23), Tarxien Rainbows = 1.89 (league 1.23)

Tarxien Rainbows
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 4.4% 8.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 51.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1