Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.45) 0.76 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.9% 13.4% 7.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.3%
3 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
UTC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 3.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza LimaUTC
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack83%58%
Defense42%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Lima UTC
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins59%53%56%28%18%23%
Draws29%18%24%22%29%26%
Loses12%29%21%50%53%51%

Form: Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWLWWDW • UTC: LLDDLWWLLWLWLLWDLDLDLLDDLLLDWLLWWDL

League goals

Metric Alianza Lima UTC
HATHAT
GF total331750171633
GF avg1.91.01.50.90.90.9
GA total131730243559
GA avg0.81.00.91.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza LimaUTC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%56%57%74%
1.541%21%29%51%
2.518%9%6%20%
3.56%3%3%11%
4.53%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza LimaUTC
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715549
Failed to score3479615

Penalties

MetricAlianza LimaUTC
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total97

Streaks

MetricAlianza LimaUTC
Wins32
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-24-10-2
Biggest losses3-43-00-46-0
Goals For5242
Goals Against4346

Model comparison

MetricAlianza LimaUTC
Form59%41%
Att59%41%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw7.80 @ Betano
Away22.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.80 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Lima = 2.75 (league 1.45), UTC = 0.76 (league 0.95)

UTC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 3.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1