Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.45) 1.23 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 25.8% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
ADT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 6.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.3% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComerciantes UnidosADT
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack50%58%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Comerciantes Unidos ADT
HATHAT
Played171633181634
Wins24%25%24%56%19%38%
Draws41%13%27%28%25%26%
Loses35%63%48%17%56%35%

Form: Comerciantes Unidos: DLDLDWLLDDLLLLWLLLLDLDWLWWLDWDWWL • ADT: DWWDLWLDWWLDLLLDDWWLLWLDLWWWDWDLLW

League goals

Metric Comerciantes Unidos ADT
HATHAT
GF total181634281543
GF avg1.11.01.01.60.91.3
GA total223052203050
GA avg1.31.91.61.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComerciantes UnidosADT
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%79%74%74%
1.527%42%35%50%
2.53%24%15%15%
3.50%12%3%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComerciantes UnidosADT
HATHAT
Clean sheets437729
Failed to score459369

Penalties

MetricComerciantes UnidosADT
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricComerciantes UnidosADT
Wins23
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-44-00-35-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricComerciantes UnidosADT
Form59%41%
Att46%54%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h13%88%
Goals0%100%
Total44.8%55.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ADT

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.25 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.02 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Comerciantes Unidos = 1.44 (league 1.45), ADT = 1.23 (league 0.95)

ADT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 6.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.3% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1