Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.23) 1.61 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 23.4% 38.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos Upnfm 0 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
1 6.5% 10.4% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLobos UpnfmCD Motagua
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack29%53%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lobos Upnfm CD Motagua
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%56%50%53%
Draws50%22%35%33%13%24%
Loses13%44%29%11%38%24%

Form: Lobos Upnfm: WLDLWWDDDLWLLDWDW • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Lobos Upnfm CD Motagua
HATHAT
GF total121224201232
GF avg1.51.31.42.21.51.9
GA total91928171027
GA avg1.12.11.61.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLobos UpnfmCD Motagua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%76%82%82%
1.541%53%65%53%
2.512%18%35%24%
3.50%12%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLobos UpnfmCD Motagua
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricLobos UpnfmCD Motagua
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLobos UpnfmCD Motagua
Wins23
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-30-3
Biggest losses1-25-10-23-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricLobos UpnfmCD Motagua
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals32%68%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Motagua

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.05 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lobos Upnfm = 1.59 (league 1.23), CD Motagua = 1.61 (league 1.02)

CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos Upnfm 0 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
1 6.5% 10.4% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 38.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1