Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.25)
0.41 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.5% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.9%
4 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lobos Upnfm | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CD Marathon | 0 | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 71% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 78% | 40% | 58% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 22% | 40% | 32% | 56% | 22% | 39% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 44% | 28% |
Form: CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLW • Lobos Upnfm: WLDLWWDDDLWLLDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 47% | 83% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 21% | 39% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 11% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CD Marathon | Lobos Upnfm |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lobos Upnfm
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CD Marathon = 3.20 (league 1.25), Lobos Upnfm = 0.41 (league 0.96)
| Lobos Upnfm | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CD Marathon | 0 | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.5% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 2.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1