Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.25)
2.64 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 17.4% | 58.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juticalpa | 0 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 14% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Draws | 22% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 22% | 26% |
| Loses | 44% | 22% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
Form: Juticalpa: LWDDWWLWDDDLWLDWLL • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 15 | 33 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Juticalpa | CD Motagua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 78% | 74% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 56% | 58% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 32% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-3 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Juticalpa | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 30.2% | 70.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Motagua
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Juticalpa = 1.41 (league 1.25), CD Motagua = 2.64 (league 0.98)
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juticalpa | 0 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 58.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1