Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.23) 1.56 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 24.1% 39.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Real Espana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos Upnfm 0 4.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.1% 11.0% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLobos UpnfmReal Espana
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack14%36%
Defense86%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lobos Upnfm Real Espana
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%30%32%60%22%42%
Draws56%20%37%10%33%21%
Loses11%50%32%30%44%37%

Form: Lobos Upnfm: WLDLWWDDDLWLLDWDWDL • Real Espana: WLWWDLLLDWDWDWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Lobos Upnfm Real Espana
HATHAT
GF total121224151429
GF avg1.31.21.31.51.61.5
GA total9213091322
GA avg1.02.11.60.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLobos UpnfmReal Espana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%74%84%58%
1.537%53%42%37%
2.511%16%21%16%
3.50%11%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLobos UpnfmReal Espana
HATHAT
Clean sheets325538
Failed to score134213

Penalties

MetricLobos UpnfmReal Espana
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLobos UpnfmReal Espana
Wins22
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-10-3
Biggest losses1-25-11-34-3
Goals For2343
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricLobos UpnfmReal Espana
Form57%43%
Att27%73%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Espana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lobos Upnfm = 1.48 (league 1.23), Real Espana = 1.56 (league 1.02)

Real Espana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos Upnfm 0 4.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.1% 11.0% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 39.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1