Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Enrique Roca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.24) 1.37 (league 2.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 24.2% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cadiz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 5.1% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.2% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MurciaCadiz
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack13%19%
Defense94%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

94%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Murcia Cadiz
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Real Murcia: W • Cadiz: W

League goals

Metric Real Murcia Cadiz
HATHAT
GF total202033
GF avg2.00.02.00.03.03.0
GA total101011
GA avg1.00.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MurciaCadiz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MurciaCadiz
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricReal MurciaCadiz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricReal MurciaCadiz
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——1-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2003
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricReal MurciaCadiz
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cadiz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away2.67 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.53 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Murcia = 1.61 (league 1.24), Cadiz = 1.37 (league 2.19)

Cadiz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 5.1% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.2% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1