Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio de O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.45 (league 1.24) 2.74 (league 2.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 5.5% 5.0%
best score tips
5 - 2
3.6%
5 - 3
3.3%
4 - 2
2.8%
Score & goals probability table
Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ourense CF 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0%
5 0.9% 2.6% 3.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOurense CFGirona
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack25%19%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 43 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 22 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ourense CF Girona
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Ourense CF: W • Girona: W

League goals

Metric Ourense CF Girona
HATHAT
GF total404033
GF avg4.00.04.00.03.03.0
GA total202022
GA avg2.00.02.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOurense CFGirona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOurense CFGirona
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricOurense CFGirona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOurense CFGirona
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2——2-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4003
Goals Against2002

Model comparison

MetricOurense CFGirona
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Ourense CF and +3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ 1xBet
Away1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ourense CF = 6.45 (league 1.24), Girona = 2.74 (league 2.19)

Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ourense CF 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0%
5 0.9% 2.6% 3.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 5.5% · Away win 5.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1