Copa del Rey — Spain
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.24) 1.83 (league 2.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.8% 16.7% 81.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.9%
0 - 2
25.5%
0 - 3
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Santander
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 15.3% 27.9% 25.5% 15.6% 7.1% 2.6%
1 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPonferradinaRacing Santander
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack19%25%
Defense94%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 34 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

5 - 8 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ponferradina Racing Santander
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Ponferradina: W • Racing Santander: W

League goals

Metric Ponferradina Racing Santander
HATHAT
GF total033044
GF avg0.03.03.00.04.04.0
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePonferradinaRacing Santander
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPonferradinaRacing Santander
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPonferradinaRacing Santander
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPonferradinaRacing Santander
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3—0-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For0304
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricPonferradinaRacing Santander
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.3%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Racing Santander and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.84 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.65 @ Marathonbet
Away2.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ponferradina = 0.05 (league 1.24), Racing Santander = 1.83 (league 2.19)

Racing Santander
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 15.3% 27.9% 25.5% 15.6% 7.1% 2.6%
1 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.8% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 81.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1