Copa del Rey — Spain
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 20:00 • Ibercaja Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.24) 0.91 (league 2.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 17.1% 12.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaragoza 0 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaragozaBurgos
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack19%13%
Defense94%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 32 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaragoza Burgos
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Zaragoza: W • Burgos: W

League goals

Metric Zaragoza Burgos
HATHAT
GF total033022
GF avg0.03.03.00.02.02.0
GA total011011
GA avg0.01.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaragozaBurgos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaragozaBurgos
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricZaragozaBurgos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricZaragozaBurgos
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3—1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0302
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricZaragozaBurgos
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Burgos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ 1xBet
Draw2.97 @ 188Bet
Away3.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.72 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaragoza = 2.42 (league 1.24), Burgos = 0.91 (league 2.19)

Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaragoza 0 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 12.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1