Super League — Kenya
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.26) 0.48 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 47.6% 26.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.3%
0 - 1
18.5%
1 - 0
18.3%
Score & goals probability table
Naivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Equity Bank 0 38.3% 18.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEquity BankNaivas
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%86%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Equity Bank Naivas
HATHAT
Played325437
Wins67%50%60%75%33%57%
Draws0%50%20%25%33%29%
Loses33%0%20%0%33%14%

Form: Equity Bank: WLDWW • Naivas: WWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Equity Bank Naivas
HATHAT
GF total639718
GF avg2.01.51.81.80.31.1
GA total426314
GA avg1.31.01.20.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEquity BankNaivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%71%57%
1.560%40%29%0%
2.540%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEquity BankNaivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricEquity BankNaivas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEquity BankNaivas
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-10-1
Biggest losses0-1——1-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricEquity BankNaivas
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Equity Bank or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Equity Bank = 0.48 (league 1.26), Naivas = 0.48 (league 0.81)

Naivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Equity Bank 0 38.3% 18.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 47.6% · Away win 26.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1