Super League
— Kenya
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.26)
0.51 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | 46.9% | 27.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.2%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Naivas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Equity Bank | 0 | 37.2% | 19.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 86% |
| Defense | 14% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 60% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Equity Bank: WLDWW • Naivas: WWDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Equity Bank | Naivas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 29% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Equity Bank | Naivas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Equity Bank or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Equity Bank = 0.48 (league 1.26), Naivas = 0.51 (league 0.76)
| Naivas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Equity Bank | 0 | 37.2% | 19.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 46.9% · Away win 27.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1