Copa Ecuador
— Ecuador
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 00:00 •
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 0.98)
0.50 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | 43.7% | 24.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.8%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Emelec | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| LDU de Quito | 0 | 32.8% | 16.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 75% |
| Attack | 71% | 36% |
| Defense | 86% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 25% |
Form: LDU de Quito: WWWW • Emelec: WWWL
League goals
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | LDU de Quito | Emelec | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 80.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 20.00% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | LDU de Quito | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : LDU de Quito or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.30 @ Betano
Away5.80 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.02 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ Betano
No1.82 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): LDU de Quito = 0.61 (league 0.98), Emelec = 0.50 (league 1.30)
| Emelec | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| LDU de Quito | 0 | 32.8% | 16.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 43.7% · Away win 24.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
