Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 21:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.56)
2.48 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.1% | 18.3% | 58.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Estelí | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Matagalpa | 0 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 73% | 40% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 44% | 41% | 67% | 38% | 53% |
| Draws | 13% | 33% | 24% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 50% | 22% | 35% | 0% | 25% | 12% |
Form: Matagalpa: WWLDLWLDLDLWWDWLW • Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Matagalpa | Real Estelí | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 76% | 82% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 59% | 35% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 12% | 24% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Matagalpa | Real Estelí |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Estelí
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Matagalpa = 1.34 (league 1.56), Real Estelí = 2.48 (league 0.94)
| Real Estelí | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Matagalpa | 0 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 58.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1