Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 25.0% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 5.7% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.7% 8.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuniorIndependiente Medellin
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Junior Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
Played232346242448
Wins57%30%43%50%50%50%
Draws22%35%28%38%25%31%
Loses22%35%28%13%25%19%

Form: Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWLWWLLDW • Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWWWDDWLWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Junior Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
GF total362763413475
GF avg1.61.21.41.71.41.6
GA total193049202545
GA avg0.81.31.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuniorIndependiente Medellin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%67%79%60%
1.543%33%44%21%
2.513%7%27%6%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.50%0%2%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuniorIndependiente Medellin
HATHAT
Clean sheets871511819
Failed to score56113710

Penalties

MetricJuniorIndependiente Medellin
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total109

Streaks

MetricJuniorIndependiente Medellin
Wins56
Draws34
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-01-5
Biggest losses1-23-03-45-2
Goals For4335
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricJuniorIndependiente Medellin
Form41%59%
Att38%62%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Junior = 1.45 (league 1.11), Independiente Medellin = 1.41 (league 0.79)

Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 5.7% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.7% 8.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 36.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1