Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.11) 1.02 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.7% 23.9% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico NacionalAmerica de Cali
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Nacional America de Cali
HATHAT
Played222345232346
Wins68%30%49%61%30%46%
Draws18%43%31%30%30%30%
Loses14%26%20%9%39%24%

Form: Atletico Nacional: WWWDLWWDWDLWDWLWDWLLDDLWLWWWLDDWDDWDWWDWDWWWL • America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLDLDLDWWDLWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Atletico Nacional America de Cali
HATHAT
GF total473380382159
GF avg2.11.41.81.70.91.3
GA total202747172138
GA avg0.91.21.00.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico NacionalAmerica de Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%67%72%54%
1.553%29%39%20%
2.527%9%13%9%
3.511%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico NacionalAmerica de Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets9615111021
Failed to score2684913

Penalties

MetricAtletico NacionalAmerica de Cali
Scored (total | %)14 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total144

Streaks

MetricAtletico NacionalAmerica de Cali
Wins35
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-53-00-4
Biggest losses2-32-01-33-0
Goals For5544
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAtletico NacionalAmerica de Cali
Form45%55%
Att59%41%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Nacional = 1.71 (league 1.11), America de Cali = 1.02 (league 0.79)

America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1