Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.11) 0.80 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 24.6% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 8.8% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 11.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeFortaleza FC
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack67%67%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Fortaleza FC
HATHAT
Played242549212041
Wins46%44%45%52%15%34%
Draws29%28%29%29%35%32%
Loses25%28%27%19%50%34%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDDLWWWL • Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWLWDWLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Fortaleza FC
HATHAT
GF total283159241640
GF avg1.21.21.21.10.81.0
GA total202848162945
GA avg0.81.11.00.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeFortaleza FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%61%66%61%
1.533%27%27%32%
2.56%4%2%10%
3.52%2%2%5%
4.52%2%0%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeFortaleza FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets1181911516
Failed to score67136814

Penalties

MetricSanta FeFortaleza FC
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total76

Streaks

MetricSanta FeFortaleza FC
Wins32
Draws35
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-74-00-2
Biggest losses1-36-11-54-0
Goals For3742
Goals Against3654

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeFortaleza FC
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.63 (league 1.11), Fortaleza FC = 0.80 (league 0.80)

Fortaleza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 8.8% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 11.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 18.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1