Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.10) 1.25 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 22.5% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 4.4% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.3% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaBucaramanga
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%71%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played232447211940
Wins57%50%53%62%32%48%
Draws22%21%21%19%26%23%
Loses22%29%26%19%42%30%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWWWWW • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDDWLWWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total373269322153
GF avg1.61.31.51.51.11.3
GA total202444162440
GA avg0.91.00.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%60%75%63%
1.543%21%38%25%
2.519%11%13%10%
3.54%2%8%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets9101911415
Failed to score4595510

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaBucaramanga
Wins33
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-43-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaBucaramanga
Form63%38%
Att67%33%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total63.2%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 1.89 (league 1.10), Bucaramanga = 1.25 (league 0.79)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 4.4% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.3% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1