Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 16:45 • Polsat Plus Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.89) 0.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.6% 15.8% 4.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.6%
1 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Slovenia W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland W 0 8.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 5.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoland WSlovenia W
Played33
Form78%11%
Attack56%19%
Defense88%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.78 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poland W Slovenia W
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins50%100%67%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%33%0%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%100%50%67%

Form: Poland W: WDW • Slovenia W: LDL

League goals

Metric Poland W Slovenia W
HATHAT
GF total459213
GF avg2.05.03.02.00.51.0
GA total022448
GA avg0.02.00.74.02.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoland WSlovenia W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%100%
1.567%33%33%67%
2.567%0%0%67%
3.567%0%0%33%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoland WSlovenia W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricPoland WSlovenia W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPoland WSlovenia W
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-5——
Biggest losses——2-43-0
Goals For4521
Goals Against0243

Model comparison

MetricPoland WSlovenia W
Form88%13%
Att75%25%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total81.0%19.3%

Advice: Winner : Poland W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Unibet
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poland W = 2.11 (league 1.89), Slovenia W = 0.32 (league 1.09)

Slovenia W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland W 0 8.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 5.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 4.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1