Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.90) 0.45 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 40.2% 19.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.9%
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lithuania W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estonia W 0 28.9% 13.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstonia WLithuania W
Played52
Form33%50%
Attack24%5%
Defense76%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estonia W Lithuania W
HATHAT
Played426202
Wins25%0%17%50%—50%
Draws25%50%33%0%—0%
Loses50%50%50%50%—50%

Form: Estonia W: LDLDLW • Lithuania W: WL

League goals

Metric Estonia W Lithuania W
HATHAT
GF total415101
GF avg1.00.50.80.50.00.5
GA total426303
GA avg1.01.01.01.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstonia WLithuania W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%50%50%
1.533%17%0%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstonia WLithuania W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricEstonia WLithuania W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEstonia WLithuania W
Wins01
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-0—
Biggest losses0-11-00-3—
Goals For2110
Goals Against2130

Model comparison

MetricEstonia WLithuania W
Form63%38%
Att83%17%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.3%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Estonia W or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estonia W = 0.79 (league 1.90), Lithuania W = 0.45 (league 1.10)

Lithuania W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estonia W 0 28.9% 13.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 19.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1