Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 12:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.90) 0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 38.9% 50.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
0 - 1
28.0%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Latvia W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland W 0 30.9% 28.0% 12.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoland WLatvia W
Played43
Form83%78%
Attack67%33%
Defense87%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.55 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poland W Latvia W
HATHAT
Played314123
Wins67%100%75%0%100%67%
Draws33%0%25%100%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Poland W: WDWW • Latvia W: DWW

League goals

Metric Poland W Latvia W
HATHAT
GF total5510145
GF avg1.75.02.51.02.01.7
GA total022101
GA avg0.02.00.51.00.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoland WLatvia W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%100%33%
1.550%25%33%0%
2.550%0%33%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoland WLatvia W
HATHAT
Clean sheets303022
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricPoland WLatvia W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPoland WLatvia W
Wins10
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-5—0-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4513
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricPoland WLatvia W
Form59%41%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Poland W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.03 @ William Hill
Draw21.00 @ Betfair
Away56.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.14 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Poland W = 0.27 (league 1.90), Latvia W = 0.91 (league 1.10)

Latvia W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland W 0 30.9% 28.0% 12.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 50.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1