Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 21:15 • Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.31) 0.44 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 31.7% 13.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.4%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Douglas Haig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 20.0% 8.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 10.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaDouglas Haig
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack36%71%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico DE Rafaela Douglas Haig
HATHAT
Played151732171633
Wins87%24%53%41%25%33%
Draws13%35%25%24%38%30%
Loses0%41%22%35%38%36%

Form: Atletico DE Rafaela: LWLWDWWWWLWDDDDLWDWWWLWLDWWDLWWW • Douglas Haig: DDWWDDWLWLWWDWDLDDLLLLLLDLWLWDWWL

League goals

Metric Atletico DE Rafaela Douglas Haig
HATHAT
GF total251338221335
GF avg1.70.81.21.30.81.1
GA total61925141529
GA avg0.41.10.80.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico DE RafaelaDouglas Haig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%56%61%58%
1.544%16%24%27%
2.56%6%12%3%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaDouglas Haig
HATHAT
Clean sheets95148614
Failed to score19105813

Penalties

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaDouglas Haig
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaDouglas Haig
Wins42
Draws42
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-01-3
Biggest losses—3-11-22-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaDouglas Haig
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total54.6%45.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ 188Bet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.90 @ 188Bet
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico DE Rafaela = 1.17 (league 1.31), Douglas Haig = 0.44 (league 0.73)

Douglas Haig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 20.0% 8.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 10.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1