Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 20:00 •
El Coloso
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.31)
1.10 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 24.4% | 25.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| San Martin Formosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 9 de Julio Rafaela | 0 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 87% |
| Attack | 71% | 57% |
| Defense | 86% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 56% | 20% | 39% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 31% | 33% | 32% | 19% | 44% | 31% |
| Loses | 13% | 47% | 29% | 6% | 31% | 19% |
Form: 9 de Julio Rafaela: DLWLLLLDWWDLWLWWDDWDDLDLWDWWDWW • San Martin Formosa: WWLDDDWWWDWDWDWDLDWWDWLWLLLWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 16 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 7 | 19 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 65% | 81% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 23% | 34% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 6% | 22% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): 9 de Julio Rafaela = 1.65 (league 1.31), San Martin Formosa = 1.10 (league 0.73)
| San Martin Formosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 9 de Julio Rafaela | 0 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 25.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1