Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Morelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.61) 1.23 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 24.7% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Irapuato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 6.0% 7.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack50%64%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monarcas Irapuato
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%25%38%50%25%38%
Draws25%38%31%38%50%44%
Loses25%38%31%13%25%19%

Form: Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLDWLWDWD • Irapuato: WLWLDWDWWDLDWDDD

League goals

Metric Monarcas Irapuato
HATHAT
GF total131023161026
GF avg1.61.31.42.01.31.6
GA total8152391322
GA avg1.01.91.41.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonarcasIrapuato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%75%69%
1.550%38%56%38%
2.525%25%19%19%
3.50%6%13%13%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-34-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Form53%47%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Monarcas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monarcas = 1.59 (league 1.61), Irapuato = 1.23 (league 1.06)

Irapuato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 6.0% 7.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1